Table 6 - Continued Total Population and Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected Population and Percent Population Change 2000-2040 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Council of Government Regions in Texas - Ranked by Anglo Population Size in 2000 ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Change Change Change Change Change %Change %Change %Change %Change %Change Rank for Anglo Anglo Anglo Anglo Anglo 2000- 2010- 2020- 2030- 2000- 2000- 2010- 2020- 2030- 2000- Anglo Region 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2010 2020 2030 2040 2040 2010 2020 2030 2040 2040 ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Assuming Zero Net Migration 1 North Central Texas 3,203,159 3,337,842 3,380,489 3,331,790 3,182,224 134,683 42,647 -48,699 -149,566 -20,935 4.2 1.3 -1.4 -4.5 -0.7 2 Houston-Galveston 2,383,452 2,447,186 2,462,443 2,406,695 2,277,932 63,734 15,257 -55,748 -128,763 -105,520 2.7 0.6 -2.3 -5.4 -4.4 3 Capital Area 848,497 881,904 893,165 883,609 847,972 33,407 11,261 -9,556 -35,637 -525 3.9 1.3 -1.1 -4.0 -0.1 4 Alamo Area 769,661 773,423 766,894 745,506 713,148 3,762 -6,529 -21,388 -32,358 -56,513 0.5 -0.8 -2.8 -4.3 -7.3 5 East Texas 551,053 551,870 547,925 533,659 517,098 817 -3,945 -14,266 -16,561 -33,955 0.1 -0.7 -2.6 -3.1 -6.2 6 Panhandle 280,519 284,987 286,924 284,457 280,262 4,468 1,937 -2,467 -4,195 -257 1.6 0.7 -0.9 -1.5 -0.1 7 Deep East Texas 262,411 260,248 257,500 251,833 245,994 -2,163 -2,748 -5,667 -5,839 -16,417 -0.8 -1.1 -2.2 -2.3 -6.3 8 South East Texas 248,509 251,120 249,342 242,684 232,699 2,611 -1,778 -6,658 -9,985 -15,810 1.1 -0.7 -2.7 -4.1 -6.4 9 West Central Texas 243,287 243,079 241,357 235,766 230,362 -208 -1,722 -5,591 -5,404 -12,925 -0.1 -0.7 -2.3 -2.3 -5.3 10 Central Texas 232,968 247,217 255,618 262,649 266,697 14,249 8,401 7,031 4,048 33,729 6.1 3.4 2.8 1.5 14.5 11 South Plains 222,776 227,553 226,114 221,196 215,827 4,777 -1,439 -4,918 -5,369 -6,949 2.1 -0.6 -2.2 -2.4 -3.1 12 Heart of Texas 217,328 215,199 212,720 206,943 199,994 -2,129 -2,479 -5,777 -6,949 -17,334 -1.0 -1.2 -2.7 -3.4 -8.0 13 Coastal Bend 211,723 214,009 212,552 206,367 198,448 2,286 -1,457 -6,185 -7,919 -13,275 1.1 -0.7 -2.9 -3.8 -6.3 14 Permian Basin 204,766 206,813 207,610 202,526 196,242 2,047 797 -5,084 -6,284 -8,524 1.0 0.4 -2.4 -3.1 -4.2 15 Ark-Tex 202,570 202,387 201,129 196,434 190,323 -183 -1,258 -4,695 -6,111 -12,247 -0.1 -0.6 -2.3 -3.1 -6.0 16 Brazos Valley 179,746 179,663 181,051 179,597 176,997 -83 1,388 -1,454 -2,600 -2,749 -0.0 0.8 -0.8 -1.4 -1.5 17 Nortex 177,785 179,036 179,260 176,826 173,135 1,251 224 -2,434 -3,691 -4,650 0.7 0.1 -1.4 -2.1 -2.6 18 Texoma 151,821 152,312 152,271 148,861 144,231 491 -41 -3,410 -4,630 -7,590 0.3 -0.0 -2.2 -3.1 -5.0 19 Rio Grande 127,187 128,104 126,706 122,645 117,312 917 -1,398 -4,061 -5,333 -9,875 0.7 -1.1 -3.2 -4.3 -7.8 20 Lower Rio Grande Valley 112,088 107,093 102,112 100,561 103,578 -4,995 -4,981 -1,551 3,017 -8,510 -4.5 -4.7 -1.5 3.0 -7.6 21 Golden Crescent 107,013 105,809 105,459 102,941 100,300 -1,204 -350 -2,518 -2,641 -6,713 -1.1 -0.3 -2.4 -2.6 -6.3 22 Concho Valley 94,577 93,723 92,100 88,869 85,286 -854 -1,623 -3,231 -3,583 -9,291 -0.9 -1.7 -3.5 -4.0 -9.8 23 Middle Rio Grande 28,722 28,302 27,737 26,823 25,716 -420 -565 -914 -1,107 -3,006 -1.5 -2.0 -3.3 -4.1 -10.5 24 South Texas 13,098 12,993 12,650 12,183 11,275 -105 -343 -467 -908 -1,823 -0.8 -2.6 -3.7 -7.5 -13.9 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 1 North Central Texas 3,203,159 3,430,796 3,593,730 3,685,500 3,701,049 227,637 162,934 91,770 15,549 497,890 7.1 4.7 2.6 0.4 15.5 2 Houston-Galveston 2,383,452 2,420,718 2,409,531 2,336,663 2,202,037 37,266 -11,187 -72,868 -134,626 -181,415 1.6 -0.5 -3.0 -5.8 -7.6 3 Capital Area 848,497 972,546 1,086,534 1,188,299 1,261,558 124,049 113,988 101,765 73,259 413,061 14.6 11.7 9.4 6.2 48.7 4 Alamo Area 769,661 797,637 815,307 814,461 794,148 27,976 17,670 -846 -20,313 24,487 3.6 2.2 -0.1 -2.5 3.2 5 East Texas 551,053 574,419 588,970 584,000 564,102 23,366 14,551 -4,970 -19,898 13,049 4.2 2.5 -0.8 -3.4 2.4 6 Panhandle 280,519 285,937 286,346 279,394 266,678 5,418 409 -6,952 -12,716 -13,841 1.9 0.1 -2.4 -4.6 -4.9 7 Deep East Texas 262,411 275,663 286,373 288,873 284,679 13,252 10,710 2,500 -4,194 22,268 5.1 3.9 0.9 -1.5 8.5 8 South East Texas 248,509 244,449 235,079 219,940 200,727 -4,060 -9,370 -15,139 -19,213 -47,782 -1.6 -3.8 -6.4 -8.7 -19.2 9 West Central Texas 243,287 242,014 236,675 224,807 210,048 -1,273 -5,339 -11,868 -14,759 -33,239 -0.5 -2.2 -5.0 -6.6 -13.7 10 Central Texas 232,968 249,810 259,351 263,429 260,655 16,842 9,541 4,078 -2,774 27,687 7.2 3.8 1.6 -1.1 11.9 11 South Plains 222,776 221,528 212,012 197,891 182,220 -1,248 -9,516 -14,121 -15,671 -40,556 -0.6 -4.3 -6.7 -7.9 -18.2 12 Heart of Texas 217,328 217,317 215,591 207,391 195,344 -11 -1,726 -8,200 -12,047 -21,984 -0.0 -0.8 -3.8 -5.8 -10.1 13 Coastal Bend 211,723 213,946 211,318 201,933 188,909 2,223 -2,628 -9,385 -13,024 -22,814 1.0 -1.2 -4.4 -6.4 -10.8 14 Permian Basin 204,766 195,880 184,389 167,206 148,778 -8,886 -11,491 -17,183 -18,428 -55,988 -4.3 -5.9 -9.3 -11.0 -27.3 15 Ark-Tex 202,570 202,480 199,740 190,839 177,841 -90 -2,740 -8,901 -12,998 -24,729 -0.0 -1.4 -4.5 -6.8 -12.2 16 Brazos Valley 179,746 189,911 200,522 205,201 203,915 10,165 10,611 4,679 -1,286 24,169 5.7 5.6 2.3 -0.6 13.4 17 Nortex 177,785 177,959 175,743 168,994 159,077 174 -2,216 -6,749 -9,917 -18,708 0.1 -1.2 -3.8 -5.9 -10.5 18 Texoma 151,821 156,885 160,332 158,368 152,377 5,064 3,447 -1,964 -5,991 556 3.3 2.2 -1.2 -3.8 0.4 19 Rio Grande 127,187 114,458 100,280 84,936 70,326 -12,729 -14,178 -15,344 -14,610 -56,861 -10.0 -12.4 -15.3 -17.2 -44.7 20 Lower Rio Grande Valley 112,088 108,798 103,814 99,275 95,784 -3,290 -4,984 -4,539 -3,491 -16,304 -2.9 -4.6 -4.4 -3.5 -14.5 21 Golden Crescent 107,013 106,201 104,894 100,184 93,566 -812 -1,307 -4,710 -6,618 -13,447 -0.8 -1.2 -4.5 -6.6 -12.6 22 Concho Valley 94,577 92,519 88,691 82,248 74,604 -2,058 -3,828 -6,443 -7,644 -19,973 -2.2 -4.1 -7.3 -9.3 -21.1 23 Middle Rio Grande 28,722 28,685 27,976 26,535 24,700 -37 -709 -1,441 -1,835 -4,022 -0.1 -2.5 -5.2 -6.9 -14.0 24 South Texas 13,098 13,418 13,295 12,931 11,990 320 -123 -364 -941 -1,108 2.4 -0.9 -2.7 -7.3 -8.5 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 1 North Central Texas 3,203,159 3,545,138 3,886,784 4,195,010 4,461,186 341,979 341,646 308,226 266,176 1,258,027 10.7 9.6 7.9 6.3 39.3 2 Houston-Galveston 2,383,452 2,394,937 2,350,859 2,257,281 2,116,174 11,485 -44,078 -93,578 -141,107 -267,278 0.5 -1.8 -4.0 -6.3 -11.2 3 Capital Area 848,497 1,075,340 1,323,224 1,585,757 1,835,905 226,843 247,884 262,533 250,148 987,408 26.7 23.1 19.8 15.8 116.4 4 Alamo Area 769,661 824,905 873,576 904,998 905,438 55,244 48,671 31,422 440 135,777 7.2 5.9 3.6 0.0 17.6 5 East Texas 551,053 592,984 616,796 602,937 551,629 41,931 23,812 -13,859 -51,308 576 7.6 4.0 -2.2 -8.5 0.1 6 Panhandle 280,519 284,503 276,090 254,987 222,846 3,984 -8,413 -21,103 -32,141 -57,673 1.4 -3.0 -7.6 -12.6 -20.6 7 Deep East Texas 262,411 290,444 311,790 314,677 297,499 28,033 21,346 2,887 -17,178 35,088 10.7 7.3 0.9 -5.5 13.4 8 South East Texas 248,509 234,979 212,973 183,735 151,001 -13,530 -22,006 -29,238 -32,734 -97,508 -5.4 -9.4 -13.7 -17.8 -39.2 9 West Central Texas 243,287 238,448 223,196 196,545 163,799 -4,839 -15,252 -26,651 -32,746 -79,488 -2.0 -6.4 -11.9 -16.7 -32.7 10 Central Texas 232,968 250,919 255,600 248,021 227,840 17,951 4,681 -7,579 -20,181 -5,128 7.7 1.9 -3.0 -8.1 -2.2 11 South Plains 222,776 213,778 191,298 162,700 132,482 -8,998 -22,480 -28,598 -30,218 -90,294 -4.0 -10.5 -14.9 -18.6 -40.5 12 Heart of Texas 217,328 217,316 210,795 192,048 165,372 -12 -6,521 -18,747 -26,676 -51,956 -0.0 -3.0 -8.9 -13.9 -23.9 13 Coastal Bend 211,723 211,886 203,702 185,478 161,045 163 -8,184 -18,224 -24,433 -50,678 0.1 -3.9 -8.9 -13.2 -23.9 14 Permian Basin 204,766 181,258 153,947 122,791 93,428 -23,508 -27,311 -31,156 -29,363 -111,338 -11.5 -15.1 -20.2 -23.9 -54.4 15 Ark-Tex 202,570 200,273 190,554 169,891 142,242 -2,297 -9,719 -20,663 -27,649 -60,328 -1.1 -4.9 -10.8 -16.3 -29.8 16 Brazos Valley 179,746 199,449 215,463 218,561 205,875 19,703 16,014 3,098 -12,686 26,129 11.0 8.0 1.4 -5.8 14.5 17 Nortex 177,785 174,771 165,326 147,870 125,100 -3,014 -9,445 -17,456 -22,770 -52,685 -1.7 -5.4 -10.6 -15.4 -29.6 18 Texoma 151,821 160,023 162,632 154,689 138,557 8,202 2,609 -7,943 -16,132 -13,264 5.4 1.6 -4.9 -10.4 -8.7 19 Rio Grande 127,187 100,749 76,260 54,815 37,703 -26,438 -24,489 -21,445 -17,112 -89,484 -20.8 -24.3 -28.1 -31.2 -70.4 20 Lower Rio Grande Valley 112,088 109,232 102,102 90,830 76,230 -2,856 -7,130 -11,272 -14,600 -35,858 -2.5 -6.5 -11.0 -16.1 -32.0 21 Golden Crescent 107,013 104,888 99,567 88,624 74,072 -2,125 -5,321 -10,943 -14,552 -32,941 -2.0 -5.1 -11.0 -16.4 -30.8 22 Concho Valley 94,577 90,983 83,754 72,142 58,649 -3,594 -7,229 -11,612 -13,493 -35,928 -3.8 -7.9 -13.9 -18.7 -38.0 23 Middle Rio Grande 28,722 28,873 27,464 24,505 20,519 151 -1,409 -2,959 -3,986 -8,203 0.5 -4.9 -10.8 -16.3 -28.6 24 South Texas 13,098 13,912 13,795 13,215 11,717 814 -117 -580 -1,498 -1,381 6.2 -0.8 -4.2 -11.3 -10.5 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004 1 North Central Texas 3,203,159 3,483,408 3,783,101 4,079,317 4,336,028 280,249 299,693 296,216 256,711 1,132,869 8.7 8.6 7.8 6.3 35.4 2 Houston-Galveston 2,383,452 2,339,699 2,245,345 2,106,822 1,920,878 -43,753 -94,354 -138,523 -185,944 -462,574 -1.8 -4.0 -6.2 -8.8 -19.4 3 Capital Area 848,497 1,001,750 1,157,706 1,313,841 1,446,400 153,253 155,956 156,135 132,559 597,903 18.1 15.6 13.5 10.1 70.5 4 Alamo Area 769,661 801,889 809,375 781,145 714,999 32,228 7,486 -28,230 -66,146 -54,662 4.2 0.9 -3.5 -8.5 -7.1 5 East Texas 551,053 564,790 552,745 502,797 424,200 13,737 -12,045 -49,948 -78,597 -126,853 2.5 -2.1 -9.0 -15.6 -23.0 6 Panhandle 280,519 272,848 251,555 218,658 179,049 -7,671 -21,293 -32,897 -39,609 -101,470 -2.7 -7.8 -13.1 -18.1 -36.2 7 Deep East Texas 262,411 269,139 265,254 243,901 208,834 6,728 -3,885 -21,353 -35,067 -53,577 2.6 -1.4 -8.1 -14.4 -20.4 8 South East Texas 248,509 225,240 194,721 159,126 122,872 -23,269 -30,519 -35,595 -36,254 -125,637 -9.4 -13.5 -18.3 -22.8 -50.6 9 West Central Texas 243,287 236,057 216,736 185,350 151,628 -7,230 -19,321 -31,386 -33,722 -91,659 -3.0 -8.2 -14.5 -18.2 -37.7 10 Central Texas 232,968 226,326 205,809 179,008 149,238 -6,642 -20,517 -26,801 -29,770 -83,730 -2.9 -9.1 -13.0 -16.6 -35.9 11 South Plains 222,776 214,496 193,100 163,834 134,063 -8,280 -21,396 -29,266 -29,771 -88,713 -3.7 -10.0 -15.2 -18.2 -39.8 12 Heart of Texas 217,328 207,149 190,438 164,003 133,484 -10,179 -16,711 -26,435 -30,519 -83,844 -4.7 -8.1 -13.9 -18.6 -38.6 13 Coastal Bend 211,723 192,512 167,853 137,520 107,037 -19,211 -24,659 -30,333 -30,483 -104,686 -9.1 -12.8 -18.1 -22.2 -49.4 14 Permian Basin 204,766 186,255 162,299 132,082 102,105 -18,511 -23,956 -30,217 -29,977 -102,661 -9.0 -12.9 -18.6 -22.7 -50.1 15 Ark-Tex 202,570 201,308 191,047 169,165 140,121 -1,262 -10,261 -21,882 -29,044 -62,449 -0.6 -5.1 -11.5 -17.2 -30.8 16 Brazos Valley 179,746 184,932 183,076 168,890 144,069 5,186 -1,856 -14,186 -24,821 -35,677 2.9 -1.0 -7.7 -14.7 -19.8 17 Nortex 177,785 164,582 146,619 123,464 98,446 -13,203 -17,963 -23,155 -25,018 -79,339 -7.4 -10.9 -15.8 -20.3 -44.6 18 Texoma 151,821 160,873 163,193 153,799 135,393 9,052 2,320 -9,394 -18,406 -16,428 6.0 1.4 -5.8 -12.0 -10.8 19 Rio Grande 127,187 100,273 75,579 54,054 37,103 -26,914 -24,694 -21,525 -16,951 -90,084 -21.2 -24.6 -28.5 -31.4 -70.8 20 Lower Rio Grande Valley 112,088 107,234 98,830 87,509 74,424 -4,854 -8,404 -11,321 -13,085 -37,664 -4.3 -7.8 -11.5 -15.0 -33.6 21 Golden Crescent 107,013 100,176 90,775 76,863 61,342 -6,837 -9,401 -13,912 -15,521 -45,671 -6.4 -9.4 -15.3 -20.2 -42.7 22 Concho Valley 94,577 86,784 75,981 62,312 48,333 -7,793 -10,803 -13,669 -13,979 -46,244 -8.2 -12.4 -18.0 -22.4 -48.9 23 Middle Rio Grande 28,722 28,354 26,477 23,162 19,224 -368 -1,877 -3,315 -3,938 -9,498 -1.3 -6.6 -12.5 -17.0 -33.1 24 South Texas 13,098 13,872 13,578 12,537 10,663 774 -294 -1,041 -1,874 -2,435 5.9 -2.1 -7.7 -14.9 -18.6 ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________