The Texas Challenge in the Twenty-First Century: Implications of Population Change for the Future of Texas

The Texas Challenge in the Twenty-First Century: Implications of Population Change for the Future of Texas is a report prepared for the Texas Legislative Council by the Center for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research and Education. The report is a broad assessment of the implications of population change for public service demand and costs in Texas.

Download a free Adobe Acrobat version of the A Summary of The Texas Challenge in the Twenty-First Century: Implications of Population Change for the Future of Texas (109 pp; 6.1 MB  ).

Download a free Adobe Acrobat version of the The Texas Challenge in the Twenty-First Century: Implications of Population Change for the Future of Texas (496 pp; 5.78 MB  ).

Place orders for bound copies of these reports through the Texas State Data Center.

A book version is now available through the Texas A&M University Press.

Council of Government Regions (COGs) Tables

Population for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent Change in Projected Population for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Total Population in 2000 and Projected Total Population in 2040, and Numerical and Percent Change in Population, 2000-2040, under Alternative Projection Scenarios for Council of Government Regions in Texas, Ranked by Numerical Population Change, 2000-2040

Total Population in 2000 and Projected Total Population in 2040, and Numerical and Percent Change in Population, 2000-2040, under Alternative Projection Scenarios for Council of Government Regions in Texas, Ranked by Percent Population Change, 2000-2040

Percent of Population for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Population in 2000 and Projected Population in 2040 by Race/Ethnicity, and Numerical and Percent Change in Population by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2040, under the 1.0 Projection Scenario for Council of Government Regions in Texas, Ranked by Percent Population Change, 2000-2040

Percent of Population for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Age and Race/Ethnicity of the Population and Median Age by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Number of Households for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent Change in the Projected Number of Households for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent of Households for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent of Households for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Age and Race/Ethnicity of the Householder and Median Age of the Householders by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Number and Percent of Households for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Type of Household and Race/Ethnicity of Householder in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Household Income for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Income Category and Race/Ethnicity of Householder in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios (Percentaged within Income Group)

Household Income for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Income Category and Race/Ethnicity of Householder in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios (Percentaged within Race/Ethnicity Group)

Aggregate Household Income by Race/Ethnicity and Mean Household Income for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Number of Families in Poverty and Poverty Rates for Family Households for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Family Type and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Number of Households for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity and by Housing Tenure of Householder in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent Change in Projected Number of Households for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity and by Housing Tenure of Householder in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent of Households for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity and by Housing Tenure of Householder in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Health Personnel for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas in 2000 and Projections for 2010 and 2040 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 1990-2000 Rates of Net Migration (1.0 Scenario)

Number of Physician Office Contacts and Associated Costs for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Age of Patient in 2000 and Projections for 2010 and 2040 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 1990-2000 Rates of Net Migration (1.0 Scenario)

Days of Hospital Care and Associated Costs for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Age of Patient in 2000 and Projections for 2010 and 2040 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 1990-2000 Rates of Net Migration (1.0 Scenario)

Number of Nursing Home Residents and Total Monthly Costs for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Age of Resident in 2000 and Projections for 2010 and 2040 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 1990-2000 Rates of Net Migration (1.0 Scenario)

Civilian Labor Force for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity of Householder in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent Change in Projected Civilian Labor Force for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent of Civilian Labor Force for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity of Householder in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent of the Civilian Labor Force for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Age and Race/Ethnicity of Householder in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Participants in Labor Force Training Programs for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Total Public Education (All Levels), Public Elementary and Secondary, Public Community College, Public University, and Total Public College and University Enrollment for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Pecent Change in Projected Total Public Education (All Levels), Public Elementary and Secondary, Public Community College, Public University, and Total Public College and University Enrollment for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios, 2000-2040

Percent of Total Public Education (All Levels), Public Elementary and Secondary, Public Community College, Public University, and Total Public College and University Enrollment for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Enrollment in Selected Public Elementary and Secondary School Programs for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent Change in Projected Enrollment in Selected Public Elementary and Secondary School Programs for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity, Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent of Enrollment in Selected Public Elementary and Secondary School Programs for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Number of Students with Financial Need Unmet by Household Resources Enrolled at Public Colleges and Universities for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

TANF Enrollment for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent Change in Projected TANF Enrollment for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios, 2000-2040

Percent of TANF Enrollment for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Food Stamp Recipients for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent Change in Projected Number of Food Stamp Recipients for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios, 2000-2040

Percent of Food Stamp Recipients for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Medicaid Recipients for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent Change in Projected Number of Medicaid Recipients for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios, 2000-2040

Percent of Medicaid Recipients for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Texas Youth Commission Population by Race/Ethnicity for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent Change in the Projected Texas Youth Commission Population by Race/Ethnicity for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent of Texas Youth Commission Population by Race/Ethnicity for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Prison Population by Race/Ethnicity for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent Change in Projected Prison Population by Race/Ethnicity for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios

Percent of Projected Prison Population by Race/Ethnicity for the State of Texas and Council of Government Regions in Texas in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios